收集一位前辈的帖子在此

livermore

shanghai bc 00:00 GMT December 24, 2003 Reply   

G -- I can see you are a tense trader,G..

livermore

shanghai bc 10:18 GMT July 3, 2006 Reply   

Russian economy is a small-sized,1.6 trillion dollar, economy by the world first-division club standard..It may change when young Russian mothers start having several strong babies each..

livermore

shanghai bc 01:49 GMT July 3, 2006 Reply   
hk revdax 01:05 GMT July 3, 2006

Market is as old as the human history and its character or human nature never changes regardless of advancement of tech and science..Simple things are always the best things in life..Same goes for trading approaches..

livermore

shanghai bc 01:41 GMT July 3, 2006 Reply   
Sichuan LK 07:04 GMT July 2, 2006

Good morning..Trading is a zero-sum-game..The whole process is how to remove the money from other's pockets into your own pockets..And every participant plays his part in market food chain..The trick is to know in which link of whole food chain one belongs and take the right strategies and tactics to survive..Good trades..

livermore

shanghai bc 00:04 GMT July 3, 2006 Reply   

Russia may be far better off by joining India-Russia-China economic trio..What is in EU for Russia..Not much..

livermore

shanghai bc 13:15 GMT November 29, 2007

Too many cb types or sovereign fund types buying Eur/usd on every small dips to make any decent correction very difficult at present..These folks must be quite newbies in forex market to run operations like that..But their size and money counts nonetheless..Still expecting some more bounce of Usd on all fronts for a few weeks despite of those folks..

livermore

shanghai bc 09:23 GMT November 30, 2007 Reply   
Mumbai NS 08:38 GMT November 30, 2007

DX 74-75 region is Dollar oversold region in medium-term and we were there too..And a decent Dollar bounce starting from around 74 up to 80-82 is a good possibility too in coming weeks..It may take some weeks to take care of that bounce too.. However,for a long-term down the road,say,next few years ,DX may keep making new lows..Long-term Dollar is still overvalued against the majors and gold alike..Good trades..

livermore

shanghai bc 06:23 GMT November 30, 2007 Reply   
USA Zeus 06:06 GMT November 30, 2007

You may be a good trader in your own right and I am sure you had many good trades too..We all make mistakes year in year out in trading..That is a part of any trader's life..And as traders,we all have different trading styles..However,a newbie or a veteran trader,the averaging down never works in the market in the long run.. I can understand if a trader adds up in a range of ,say.100-200 pip range,building up medium-term positions,not for daytrade..What I do not understand is, adding up to losing positions for several month in a row covering almost 1000 pips..Purely from a trader's point of view and nothing personal..

I do post my trades in other forum too..You have no obligation to post your trades in any case..We are here to share the trading ideas and strategies,not to see how others' trades work out..

livermore

shanghai bc 02:27 GMT November 30, 2007 Reply   
hk ab 02:07 GMT November 30, 2007

Expecting a range of 770-840 for a few weeks..900 and 1000 may have to wait for the next year..Good trades..

livermore

shanghai bc 06:23 GMT November 30, 2007 Reply   
USA Zeus 06:06 GMT November 30, 2007

You may be a good trader in your own right and I am sure you had many good trades too..We all make mistakes year in year out in trading..That is a part of any trader's life..And as traders,we all have different trading styles..However,a newbie or a veteran trader,the averaging down never works in the market in the long run.. I can understand if a trader adds up in a range of ,say.100-200 pip range,building up medium-term positions,not for daytrade..What I do not understand is, adding up to losing positions for several month in a row covering almost 1000 pips..Purely from a trader's point of view and nothing personal..

I do post my trades in other forum too..You have no obligation to post your trades in any case..We are here to share the trading ideas and strategies,not to see how others' trades work out..

livermore

shanghai bc 05:56 GMT November 30, 2007 Reply   
USA Zeus 03:43 GMT November 30, 2007

I do not know you and I have no reason to attack you as a person.This is a traders forum where we share the views together and everyone is entitled to his or her own view and method..Why should I care what you do with your own money..However,I do care about the ways of trading as a trader purely out of professional interest..Since you insist your way of averaging down is the right way of trading,I just want others to view and judge for themselves as well..Do not take it personally..I wish you all the best ..

livermore

shanghai bc 02:27 GMT November 30, 2007 Reply   
hk ab 02:07 GMT November 30, 2007

Expecting a range of 770-840 for a few weeks..900 and 1000 may have to wait for the next year..Good trades..

livermore

shanghai bc 01:51 GMT November 30, 2007 Reply   
Alaska Moon 21:32 GMT November 29, 2007

A good point..Seriously,Nick Leeson could have made more than a billion Dollars if and only if his bank had another billion when he was adding to his lossers all the way down..Alas,that poor bank was not the Old Lady..Index he was buying all the way down with all the money the bank had, bounced a big way after the demise of that poor bank..It is like Napoleon could have won in Waterloo if and only if he had another fresh ten legions waiting on the flank..Trading is the art of the possible and it is the right strategies at the right time that counts even for a bank or Napoleon too..Then,the Mongolian central bank went bakrupt using Nick Leeson strategy too

livermore

shanghai bc 12:00 GMT November 6, 2004 Reply   

ZAPPY -- Long time no see..Hope you are fine..Expecting a steady downward move for Dollar till the end of the year..Good trades.

livermore

shanghai bc 11:52 GMT November 6, 2004 Reply   

AB -- I guess, as long as stocks and bonds stay firm,Fed would not mind if Dollar falls another 10% or even 20% by their overproduction of Dollars..The only folks who would be worried about at some stage must be the ones from Euroland and Japan..But given RMB's peg to USD and Asian cureencies de facto peg to RMB,I do not expect another huge downside of Dollar at this stage..But forex market is always full of surprises once momentum sets in ,especially so when the authorities fail to convey their certain wishes to forex traders for whatever reasons.

livermore

shanghai bc 10:54 GMT November 6, 2004 Reply   

NT 03:57 -- Good evening..Usd/Chf 1.1800--1.1600 is a short-term oversold region..Expecting some 200-250 pip short-term bounce from that region..For medium-term,Eur/Usd 1.35-1.38 is likely to be a medium-term overbought region..It is highly likely that we may see Eur/Usd entering that region in coming weeks..And expecting some decent medium-term correction of some 500-1,000 pips from that region again..If Dollar falls on good news and on bad news,that says a lot about Dollar's momentum at present..I would keep selling Dollar on any decent bounce till we enter medium-term oversold region..Good trades.

livermore

shanghai bc 09:37 GMT October 12, 2005 Reply   

DESSI 07:49 -- Good evening..I stil see Eur/Usd in 1.1900--1.2500 range for some weeks..With a good chance of decent decline of Dollar at some stage..I am buying at the low end of the range..Good trades..

livermore

shanghai bc 07:37 GMT October 12, 2005 Reply   


GOES 07:20 -- I see you are a Taoist follower..No day without night,no fall without rise..I still fail to see your yin-yang view of China's space programme..It cost China 2.5 billion Dollars..A week's trade surplus from US market..A peanut for its pocket..On Chinese illegals,using Taoist philosophy again,you should be happy that they are neither terrorists nor drug dealers roaming the streets of Europe..

livermore

shanghai bc 07:02 GMT October 12, 2005 Reply   

AB 06:29 -- Good afternoon..HIA has been one of the two main pillars of Dollar strength this year..Some 200-300 billion Dollars of cash transfers we are talking about..BOJ folks used only 280 in 2003 to wreck a havoc in forex market..Similar but gradual effect in forex market here..Expecting the HIA flow to slow down starting from November..Good trades..

livermore

shanghai bc 06:16 GMT October 12, 2005 Reply   

GOES 05:24 -- Good morning..China first emerged as a net food exporter in 1996..In 2004, it imported $US55billion worth of food, but it exported twice as much, worth $US113billion..China is helping to feed the world..Ask the African nations..It is one of the major food nonors in UN Food Programme now..You are still reading late 1970's newspaper articles ..